The second half of the 2024 WNBA season is winding down with only a couple of weeks of regular season action left. I am still here breaking down the top picks on Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Saturdays this season. Join me as we build our bankrolls heading into the playoffs!
Let’s get into the action for Tuesday, September 10. Be sure to check with our WNBA Prop Projections when building your tickets.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Connecticut Sun (-11.5) at Los Angeles Sparks (+470) | O/U 159 (-108/-112)
For a long time, you could set your watch by Rickea Jackson’s point-line being 11.5 and by her surpassing it. Vegas was even offering better than even money on Over 11.5 points as recently as August 17, the Sparks’ second game back from the All-Star break. That ship has sailed as her point totals have soared.
Dating back to August 23 in Washington, Jackson has scored at least 17 points in five of her last seven games, including a career-high 25 against Dallas on August 25 and another 23 against the top-rated Connecticut Sun defense her last time out. Like I said, gone are the days of Vegas ignoring Miss Rickea Jackson so 17+ is hard to find offered for her. The next best thing is 15+ as she has hit this total in six of her last nine and 9-of-13 overall. Jackson has also gone for 18 or more points in three of her last six games and two of her last three home games, including the last game against these same Sun.
Jackson has also increased her point total in each subsequent game. She began with 10 points in Uncas, CT back on June 18 and followed that with 14 points in Boston (first WNBA game at TD Garden) on August 20. The trend continued on Sunday when she dropped 23 points in front of the home Cryto.com Arena crowd. If this pattern continues, it will essentially lead to her tying or surpassing her career-high of 25. This makes the +1200 return offered for 25+ that much more enticing. She has shown she can score against anyone, even the vaunted Sun defense, regardless of the location, having played all three games in different states.
Rickea Jackson’s season average sits at 12.8 points in 28.4 minutes. However, when you look at those minutes they tell an interesting story. In 35 games this season, Rickea Jackson has actually seen at least 28 minutes in just 19 of them (54%) but in those 19 games, her scoring average jumped up to 16.4 points per game. When you factor in her jump in playing time after fellow rookie Cameron Brink’s season-ending knee injury, when Jackson has seen 28 minutes since June 18, she averages 17.1 points. In the 12 games post-Brink where Jackson has seen 30+ minutes her average jumps to 17.4. Her rebounding totals improved from 3.8 to 4.4 in games of 28+ minutes and to 4.9 rebounds when she sees 30 minutes.
Her overall season stats are great, especially for a rookie, but since the Brink injury, Jackson has averaged 17.4 points and 5.3 rebounds when she sees 30+ minutes. It’s all there when you read between the lines. The Sparks will have the top pick in next year’s draft and will likely add UConn’s Paige Bueckers making for an awesome Big 3 in LA! But that is next year and we still have a few more games left of Queen Jackson’s solo reign.
With all due respect to Caitlin Clark and Angel Reese, Rickea Jackson is my Rookie of the Year and I will die on that hill. After you follow me up this Rickea Jackson point ladder, maybe you will too.
Repeat our mantra as we climb tonight: “Rickea Jackson: Any Team. Any Time. Any Place”
WNBA Pick: Rickea Jackson Points Ladder: 15+ (-115) | 18+ (+190) | 20+ (+320) | 25+ (+1300)
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Luke Monaldo is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @MoKnowsSports and Discord @alydar1227 AKA The GIFTing Crooner. For more from Luke, check out his archive.
